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EricOnEquitiesDuring <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recessions</a>, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#stocks</a> often decline while <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bonds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bonds</a> rise, providing diversification benefits.While true, there are exceptions, such as the early '80s when both stocks and bonds gained or early 2022 when stocks and bonds got obliterated.The current economic environment, with higher inflation and interest rates, has led to increased stock-bond correlations, impacting portfolio diversification strategies.Below is a plot of a typical 60/40 portfolio using VTI/BND as proxies:

Bytes EuropeTariff chaos spawns mixed economic signals. Recession or soft landing? <a href="https://www.byteseu.com/967321/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.byteseu.com/967321/</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Branch" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Branch</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/donald" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#donald</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/DonaldTrump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#DonaldTrump</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Economics</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/economy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#economy</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/EconomyNews" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#EconomyNews</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/executive" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#executive</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ExecutiveBranch" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ExecutiveBranch</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/federal" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#federal</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/FederalReserveSystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#FederalReserveSystem</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/import" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#import</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ImportTariffs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ImportTariffs</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Negative" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Negative</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/News" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#News</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Overall" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Overall</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/OverallNegative" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#OverallNegative</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/point" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#point</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Politics</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Recessions</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/reserve" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#reserve</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/system" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#system</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/tariffs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tariffs</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/the" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#the</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/to" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#to</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ToThePoint" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ToThePoint</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#trump</a>

Kim Perales"Last week’s trade data: BLEAK- 49% drop in global container bookings - 64% drop in US imports - 30% drop in US exports If this continues for more than a few weeks -no doubt in my mind that we're🚨HEADED FOR ONE OF THE WORST <a href="https://toad.social/tags/RECESSIONS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#RECESSIONS</a> IN OUR LIFETIME." -B Krassenstein"No foreseeable way of producing all the things that we import, at the same price that we import them, the -8% DEPR of the Dollar in 2025 -another tax on consumers/bus' -rely on importing foreign prods." -S Hakimian<a href="https://toad.social/tags/USPol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#USPol</a>

Nonilex<a href="https://masto.ai/tags/Oil" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Oil</a> has yo-yoed both on supply-&-demand issues but also the <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/MiddleEast" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#MiddleEast</a> ceasefires between <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/Israel" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Israel</a> & <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/Hamas" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Hamas</a> & <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/Hezbollah" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Hezbollah</a> that already look under threat.Q2 doesn't look like it is going to get any easier on the whole.<a href="https://masto.ai/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Trump</a> will be detailing his grand <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/global" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#global</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/tariff" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tariff</a> plan he has dubbed ‘liberation day' on Wednesday. For investors, the big question is whether it will end up triggering <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recessions</a>.<a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#economy</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/trumpcession" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#trumpcession</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/ETTTTS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ETTTTS</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/geopolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#geopolitics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/GlobalEconomy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#GlobalEconomy</a>

Nathaniel GregoryNext time someone asks you "when has <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/socialism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#socialism</a> ever worked?", ask them why <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/capitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#capitalism</a> seems to be unable to fix basic problems like the <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/housingcrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#housingcrisis</a> or why capitalism crashes every 10 to 20 years and has to be bailed out by the <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/government" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#government</a> every time there's a <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/recession" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recession</a>.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Socialist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Socialist</a> countries don't have & never had <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recessions</a> because the <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/economy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#economy</a> is literally PLANNED in such a way as to avoid them.

The Japan TimesU.S. President Donald Trump has declined to rule out the possibility that the United States might enter a recession this year, as his tariff threats roil financial markets and stoke unease among consumers. <a href="https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/03/10/economy/us-trump-recession/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/03/10/economy/us-trump-recession/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/business" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#business</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/economy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#economy</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/globaleconomy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#globaleconomy</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/donaldtrump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#donaldtrump</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/us" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#us</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/tradewar" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tradewar</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/tariffs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tariffs</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/trade" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#trade</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/inflation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#inflation</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recessions</a>

Jason YipAnnounced <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/layoffs" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#layoffs</a> have 'jumped to levels not seen since the last two <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recessions</a>': report <a href="https://www.rawstory.com/trump-recession-2671280504/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.rawstory.com/trump-recession-2671280504/</a>

acemaxxUS monetary policy is tighter but below the level of real rates that led to prior <a href="https://econtwitter.net/tags/recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recessions</a>; corporate cash flow is still in good shape, unlike the cash flow deficits which preceded prior <a href="https://econtwitter.net/tags/recessions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#recessions</a> - chart @JPMorganAM

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