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#intergenerational

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Americans born to low-income families are faring worse than the last generation in most major U.S. cities, a new analysis finds.

#Intergenerational #mobility
— the idea that you'll do better than your parents, your children will do better than you, and so on
— is core to the American dream, but is far from a guarantee.

A new analysis from the Census Bureau and Opportunity Insights, a research group at Harvard University, seeks to measure intergenerational mobility at the county level.

Researchers compared the average household income at age 27 for Americans born to low-income families in both 1978 and 1992 to get a localized picture of changing opportunities over time.

What they found:
🆘 In 38 of the 50 biggest U.S. metro areas, Americans born to low-income families in 1992 were doing #worse at age 27 than those born in 1978 at that age.

✅Brownsville, Texas, had the biggest increase across generations: Those born in 1992 made $33,500 at age 27, compared to $31,400 for those born in 1978 (up 6.7%; adjusted to 2023 dollars).

❌Philadelphia had the biggest drop, with those born in 1992 making just $27,200 at age 27, compared to $31,200 for those born in 1978 (down 12.8%).

Between the lines: The geography of mobility has shifted dramatically, especially when breaking down the data by race.

"By 1992, upward mobility for low-income #white children in the #coasts and in the #Southwest 💥fell markedly to rates on par with those observed in #Appalachia and other areas that historically offered the lowest chances of upward mobility," the researchers write.

"Conversely, for #Black children, upward mobility
💥increased the most in the #Southeast and the #Midwest
— areas where outcomes had historically been poorest for Black Americans."

Yes, but: "Black children born in 1992 still had poorer prospects of rising up than white children in virtually every county in America, because initial Black-white disparities were so large."

The bottom line:
👉Changes affecting one generation quickly affect the next, 👈
the researchers say, and "thereby generate rapid changes in economic mobility."


"While this carries hope for how opportunity can improve, it also comes with some caution, as communities can experience declining opportunity in a similar timeframe."

axios.com/2024/08/13/upward-in

Axios · The cities with the best — and worst — upward mobilityBy Alex Fitzpatrick

"The one thing we know about the #CimateCrisis is that it has incredibly long-term impacts", he says. "That's the core of the #intergenerational #climate problem: we've #colonised the future, we treat it as a dumping ground for ecological degradation, and technological risks, as if there was nobody there."

bbc.com/future/article/2023021

www.bbc.comDo people yet to be born have climate change rights?By Jocelyn Timperley